Liquidity And Asset Pricing: Evidence From The Hong Kong Stock Market
Compte Rendu : Liquidity And Asset Pricing: Evidence From The Hong Kong Stock Market. Recherche parmi 298 000+ dissertationsPar dodoch • 19 Décembre 2012 • 964 Mots (4 Pages) • 1 342 Vues
1. Introduction
Investors face liquidity risk when they transfer ownership of
their securities. Therefore, investors consider liquidity to be an
important factor when making their investment decisions. Amihud
and Mendelson (1986) find a positive return-illiquidity relation.
Since that study, many other researchers continue to investigate
the return-illiquidity (liquidity) relation, but evidence over the
past two decades is generally inconsistent and mixed.1
Amihud (2002) shows that there is a significant relation between
liquidity and expected stock returns. He finds a negative return-
liquidity relation even in the presence of size, beta, and
momentum. The use of time-series models is important, because
it allows for an investigation of whether mimicking portfolios for
risk factors captures shared variation in stock returns and identifies
whether the model is well-specified.
Motivated by these studies, we address the question of
whether liquidity is an important variable to capture the shared
time-series variation in stock returns by investigating whether
the effect of liquidity on stock return remains after controlling
for the well-known stock return factors using Hong Kong data.
These well-documented factors are beta, size, and book-tomarket
ratio factors (the Fama–French three factors), momentum
factor, and the higher moment (coskewness) factor. Although
these are well-known factors and determinants in explaining
stock returns in the US market, previous studies seldom
examine their joint effect with liquidity in emerging and Asian
markets.2
Gathering out-of-sample evidence to support results beyond
the US market is important in avoiding the data-snooping problem
pointed out by Lo and MacKinlay (1990). Besides, the US market is
arguably the most liquid market in the world, with a smaller
liquidity effect than those of emerging or volatile markets. Investigating
the Hong Kong stock market, an important stock market
that ranked seventh in the world by market capitalization at the end of 2008, can help us understand the impact of liquidity on asset
pricing in emerging markets because the Hong Kong market is
known to be one of the most volatile stock markets in the world
and it is also well known to be dominated by small firms.3 Thus,
Hong Kong is an ideal out-of-sample testing ground for the returnliquidity
relation because liquidity (illiquidity) should affect expected
returns of many listed firms there.
In this paper, we adopt a time-series regression approach to
study the return-liquidity relation in Hong Kong. Previous studies
do not adequately address the relations among liquidity
and other important asset pricing factors in the Hong Kong
and Asian stock markets. We hope that by studying a highly volatile
market such as Hong Kong, we can find better and more robust
results on the return-liquidity (illiquidity) relation, which
helps to shed light on this issue in the literature. We employ
nine widely used liquidity (illiquidity) proxies in our study. We
adjust stock returns by the three-moment CAPM, the Fama–
French three-factor model, and the augmented Fama–French
three-factor models. Thus, we address the importance of liquidity
together with other known, important time-series determinants
of stock returns, such as beta, size, book-to-market ratio, and
momentum.
Our results show that liquidity is an important factor pricing
returns in Hong Kong after taking into consideration welldocumented
asset pricing factors. In particular, illiquid stocks
have positive loadings while liquid stocks have negative loadings
on
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